StockFetcher Forums · General Discussion · Is this a crash or a correction?<< 1 ... 18 19 20 21 22 >>Post Follow-up
four
5,087 posts
msg #146590
Ignore four
modified
2/15/2019 11:28:01 AM

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4241345-caused-recession-2019minus-2021
Charles Hugh Smith
Feb. 15, 2019 1:55 AM ET

The banquet of consequences is now being served, but the good seats have all been taken by those with no debt, unimpaired collateral and little dependence on central bank stimulus or central state legerdemain. All that's left are the bad seats with horrendous consequences for perverse, distorting policies that refused to deal directly with painfully obvious imbalances.


four
5,087 posts
msg #146689
Ignore four
2/22/2019 3:02:39 PM

From 1981
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/1981/12/the-education-of-david-stockman/305760/

shillllihs
4,639 posts
msg #146690
Ignore shillllihs
2/22/2019 3:06:46 PM

It's a correction.

karennma
7,293 posts
msg #146789
Ignore karennma
3/4/2019 7:26:13 AM

President Trump - January 2, 2019
"there was a “glitch” in stock markets last month, but they will go up again as trade deals are made and have a long way (up) to go."


President Trump does it again.
That man amazes me.
Liz Sonders, Ralph Acampora ... he beat the experts at their own game.


Cheese
418 posts
msg #146813
Ignore Cheese
3/5/2019 10:48:51 AM

@karennma, a few notes from my readings:

Recently, Liz Ann Sonders's posts seemed more cautious and Trump's rhetoric a bit stale.
It is not a bad idea to base our market divinations on some specifics if we can.

There are a few posts and stats on bear markets and bear market rallies by quants around
the financial blog-o-sphere and Twitterdom. Bear markets typically had several violent
bear market rallies that felt liek a resumption of the bull market, and killed many bull
and bear accounts alike. It is believed that bear market rallies killed more bear accounts
than bull markets.

What are some of the things that the pros do to distinguish bear market rallies from
resumption of bull markets?

In a bear market rally, junk outperforms quality.
the well-respected Helene Meister flashed this alert on Feb 27, 2019:
BBY +50% off the lows.
AMZN +25%

Some believed that in a bull market, $NYA200R the % of NYSE stocks above their MA200 should
remain above 60%.
Some people compare $NYUPV the NYSE Volume Advancing to $NYDNV Volume Declining and
$NYTV Total Volume.
Some look at the relationships and relative strengths between asset classes, asset sizes and sectors.

To be consistent with past practices, only when the market has reached another new all-time high,
can we say that the bull market is back.

Last but not least: WDIK ;^)

StockFetcher Forums · General Discussion · Is this a crash or a correction?<< 1 ... 18 19 20 21 22 >>Post Follow-up

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