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General Discussion · Fundamental Analysis
msg #152911
7/2/2020 8:28:50 PM


The other question I would like to ask you is:
Are you young enough to remember what other forums used to say about us in the very earlier years?
They said Stockfetcher people are not real traders. They are workforce refugees.

As recently as 2019, johnpaulca wrote a post to remind us
Not everyone who trades can be called traders.

This is very important.
Some us who didn't edge that in our minds might live to regret it.

Happy and humble investing

General Discussion · Fundamental Analysis
msg #152909
7/2/2020 8:06:00 PM


Are you young enough to remember the wonderful moneycentral before it was swallowed up by msn?.

moneycentral was a long running investing and trading website with 4 regular contributors / columnists.

One of them was a highly successful real-life investment firm with a high consistent win rate.

Here is their four-pillar approach:

1. Political analysis

2. Sentiment analysis

3. Fundamental analysis

4. Technical analysis

Political analysis is not political affiliation, not political debate, not political opinions.
Political analysis is calm and cool, and has little emotions.
Political analysis is strictly about making money for ourselves.

Political analysis was possible when America was not polarized.
Political analysis was possible under a thousand points of lights of a kinder, gentler
America under President and war hero George H W Bush
‘Fair winds and following seas, Sir’

Stock Picks and Trading · Which Way is the Market Going to Go? Squeeze
msg #152891
7/2/2020 10:17:15 AM


At the end, only price pays. Reasons don't pay.
I was not all in so I've missed some of the ramping up.
But I have no regret for being cautious.
Some of us should know in a few weeks whether this virus is patriotic or not.

Yesterday for the second day, advancing issues $NYADV declined
and declining issues $NYDEC increased. In the past, this usually meant
stealth distribution.

A few years ago, there was one detailed explanation of the job numbers report.
Part of it is based on the Births and Deaths model. So, if the report says there were
240,000 jobs created then about 180,000 were modeled numbers.
For June 2020, more people went back to the their jobs.
New jobs were not created.

Happy waiting and investing.

Stock Picks and Trading · Which Way is the Market Going to Go? Squeeze
msg #152880
7/1/2020 10:02:09 AM


Yesterday June 30, market indices went up
But NYSE Advancing Issues $NYADV went down around 13%
and NYSE Declining Issues $NYDEC went up around 45%

This probably means that market indices went up with a few heavy weights
but the markets themselves are still tentative and may still have structural weaknesses.

Historically, a short trading week tends to close up
with Da Boyz big bosses already taking off early for a summer long weekend
and shops are run by shoe shiners and training bots, all on short leashes.

Filter Exchange · This might be impossible
msg #152869
6/30/2020 5:08:10 PM

Congrats, Robert.
Your success is a perfect answer to your detractor.

Stock Picks and Trading · Which Way is the Market Going to Go? Squeeze
msg #152866
6/30/2020 4:24:28 PM


MrTopStep seemed to think that was pump and dump.

38 mins to close, market imbalance was $6 billion to buy
34 mins to close, market imbalance was $2 billion to buy
32 mins to close, market imbalance only $1 billion to buy

Stock Picks and Trading · Which Way is the Market Going to Go? Squeeze
msg #152838
6/28/2020 11:56:02 AM

No offense taken.

Yes, short-term rally. Medium-term weakness. JMHO and wild guesses.

Many old people will still die with covid19 because of pre-existing conditions
and because with covid-19 many patients could lose 40% of body mass.

JMHO also

Stock Picks and Trading · Which Way is the Market Going to Go? Squeeze
msg #152835
6/27/2020 8:56:11 PM


Back to US stock markets

Resurgence of covid19 cases in many states and counties


From White House task force: many drugs and treatments available (Jun 2020)

Jun 2020 is not Feb 2020. We now have several effective treatments available
to help people recover and frive down mortality rate

convalescent plasma
dexamethasone cortico steroid

From Israel (May 3, 2020)
Groundbreaking scientific development, determining an antibody that neutralizes the corona virus (SARS-COV-2)
Far preferable to a vaccine for many! “Israel's IIBR finds antibody that neutralizes coronavirus” - The Jerusalem Post

From Quantitative Biosciences Institute at the University of California, San Francisco.
reported in international science journal CELL (Jun 27, 2020)

kinase inhibitors

By focusing on the fundamental behavior of the virus — how it hijacks key human proteins and uses them to benefit itself and harm us — the team was able to identify a family of existing drugs called kinase inhibitors that appear to offer the most effective treatment yet for COVID-19.
"We've tested a number of these kinase inhibitors and some are better than remdesivir," said Nevan Krogan
While remdesivir has yet to be approved for use against COVID-19, U.S. regulators are allowing "emergency use" of the drug in hospitalized patients.
Dr Nevan Krogan said tests of kinase inhibitors showed some, including Gilteritnib and Ralimetinib, required lower concentrations than remdesivir in order to kill off 50% of the virus.


Dr. David Fajgenbaum, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine
feels particularly elated about a recent United Kingdom-based study on the steroid dexamethasone. The study garnered headlines for its result showing that a low-dose 10-day regimen of the drug could reduce the risk of death by a third among hospitalized patients requiring ventilation.
It's a cheap repurposed drug that's been around for 60 years. T

Other treatment:
combination of antivirals lopinavir and ritonavir


Happy investing and trading

Stock Picks and Trading · Which Way is the Market Going to Go? Squeeze
msg #152821
6/27/2020 2:26:49 PM

My dentist and some of my friends made their fortune like that.
Their businesses or offices are at street level, and they live upstairs.
My hairdressers put their children through university and medical school
with a hole in the wall hair salon like that.
They own the properties.

General Discussion · Volume Zone Oscillator
msg #152817
6/27/2020 12:25:35 PM

Thank you, snappy

I thought there might be some divergences or timing delays that could give me some early warnings
But the disconnects sometimes seem too far off

Unfortunately, I could only see those disconnects in hindsight, not in real time.

If you see some hints or clues from other platforms, please kindly post them here.

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