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sumit.gargs@gmail.com
7 posts
msg #142739
Ignore sumit.gargs@gmail.com
3/13/2018 12:18:14 AM

How about GPS? $2M worth Sep/21/2018 35 calls bought with stock at $32.29.

lavapit315
47 posts
msg #142749
Ignore lavapit315
3/13/2018 4:49:56 PM

Check out TNTR, not sure if you would pick this but 19,500 20-Apr-18P @ for a total cost of $682,500. Definitely makes the sentiment bearish. Stock is at $4.35 and looks like it could go to the 6 month low of 2.78.

15minofPham
136 posts
msg #142754
Ignore 15minofPham
3/13/2018 10:57:55 PM

Follow the Money Play of the Day - TNTR

Great find by Lavapit who has been very quiet lately. Premium of $682,500 of 19,500 of the 4/20/18 $2.5 Put for $0.35 with stock at $4.38. The premium amount pales in comparison to other smart money plays, but it's hard to ignore the 34x the 90-day average volume. As with so many stocks these past six weeks, TNTR was stuffed hard at resistance and smart money thinks its fall still has a ways to go. Total option volume Put/Call ratio was a nearly perfect 99-1 and bullish order sentiment was 0%! This is the first time I've seen a goose egg for bullish sentiment. Needless to say, it's well below its 30-day average of 71%.

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Monday's spotlight - KMB, $2.4 million, 10,000 7/20/18 $120 Call for $2.45, Stock $112.39

Didn't participate in the market meltdown so Call is at +16.33%.
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Today's back to fading claimed SINA as February's sixth victim. MSFT managed to reach above +50% within the first five minutes so it was able to be sold for a profit helping March keep its undefeated record.

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The purpose of this paper trading portfolio is to find out if following the big money plays, aka smart money is truly smart.

Rules:
1) Picks are based on one big purchase or multiples of purchases adding to a large premium
2) Prices are end of day except if below event occurs intraday
3) Gain: Sell at +100%. The purpose is to see how many plays can double. If price climbs above 50 & 75 pct target then threaten to fall below intraday, then sell kicks in. Example: X stock started the day at +93% but then falls to +75% intraday, stock would be sold at +75%
4) Loss: Sell at -50%
5) Sell before earnings

four
5,087 posts
msg #142755
Ignore four
3/13/2018 11:29:27 PM

https://www.simplertrading.com/allison-ostranders-strategy-selection-risk-gauge/

https://www.simplertrading.com/the-randomness-of-winning-streaks/



15minofPham
136 posts
msg #142764
Ignore 15minofPham
3/15/2018 1:36:47 AM

Follow the Money Play of the Day - IWM

Premium of $2.5 million on 5,000 of the 9/21/18 $150 Put for $5.07 with ETF at $158.06. A very bearish play for almost the rest of the year. Breakeven of $144.93 is 8.1% away from today's closing price of $157.71. This could very well be a hedge, but interesting to see this far out of the money. This is a dangerous play since one bullish month will have the put at the -50% stop loss. Total option volume Put/Call ratio was 71-39 and bullish order sentiment was 36% which is right in line with its 30-day average of 38%.

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Tuesday's spotlight - TNTR, $682,500, 19,500 4/20/18 $2.50 Put for $0.35, Stock $4.38

Fell -12.18% but since Put is so far out of the money, it's actually at -28.57%
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Portfolio picked up two more wins today with STZ 7/20/18 220 Call and IWM 9/21/18 161 Call. The former fell back to +50% so it was sold. The latter opened at $6.24 which made the Call fell below +50% so it was closed for +48.22% profit. February's winning pct is at 64.71% and portfolio is back above 60%, not too bad considering how the market has been consistently faded over the past six weeks.

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

The purpose of this paper trading portfolio is to find out if following the big money plays, aka smart money is truly smart.

Rules:
1) Picks are based on one big purchase or multiples of purchases adding to a large premium
2) Prices are end of day except if below event occurs intraday
3) Gain: Sell at +100%. The purpose is to see how many plays can double. If price climbs above 50 & 75 pct target then threaten to fall below intraday, then sell kicks in. Example: X stock started the day at +93% but then falls to +75% intraday, stock would be sold at +75%
4) Loss: Sell at -50%
5) Sell before earnings

lavapit315
47 posts
msg #142769
Ignore lavapit315
3/15/2018 8:06:35 PM

I know it's an earnings play but check out HIBB. I'm in the 16Mar 22.50P. Have to wait till morning though to see how it works out.

15minofPham
136 posts
msg #142772
Ignore 15minofPham
3/15/2018 11:02:34 PM

Looks like you may have guessed right Lavapit.

15minofPham
136 posts
msg #142773
Ignore 15minofPham
3/15/2018 11:21:05 PM

I'll be busy packing for the upcoming move to another state so I will no longer have time to continue this thread. I think most of you get the idea that following the smart money is very profitable during a market's uptrend. During a choppy trend such as what we're experiencing now, you'll need to pick your spots. Wait for a pullback and sell at resistance and take your profits quickly!

I hope you've enjoyed reading this the past two and a half months and thank you for participating. I'll go back to lurking like I did the previous nine & a half years.

shillllihs
4,933 posts
msg #142774
Ignore shillllihs
3/16/2018 1:35:23 AM

Great effort and was fun, take care.

lavapit315
47 posts
msg #142777
Ignore lavapit315
3/16/2018 11:22:23 AM

HIBB worked out great. Gained about 70%

StockFetcher Forums · Stock Picks and Trading · Follow The Money (Options)<< 1 ... 27 28 29 30 31 >>Post Follow-up

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