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Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #152045
5/3/2020 7:00:52 PM

Maybe i'm over complicating things again after being spoiled....

Trying to pick the "best" entry (HTZ) is appearing to be almost like a lost cause given my limited skill sets. I should be happy just catching 80% of the trade and move on as those have been what is working.

Picked up SRTY EOD $19.08 will use $16 stop


SPY to tip or not to tip. Short EOD $282.79


AAPL blahhh? Short $289


Filter Exchange · Price Coming Off of a PVI Low
sandjco
msg #152040
5/3/2020 11:25:02 AM

Thanks for sharing snappy!

BTW, what is the R1, R2 and S1 and S2? SF auto calculates support and resistance?

Also, I find using the "optionable" lingo seems to be a hit or miss...maybe it is just me...

Here is my snappy inspired take on the filter..
Fetcher[
market is not otcbb
market is not etf
price > 3
optionable
average Volume(30) > 5000000

draw pvi 22 day low on plot pvi

set{pvi_22, count (pvi equals pvi 22 day low, 1)}

set{x1, count(pvi_22 1 day ago > .99,1) * count(pvi_22 < .99,1)}
set{x2, count(Stochastic %K(40,40,4) < 30,1) * count(Stochastic %D(40,40,4) < 30,1)}
set{x3, count(rsi(2) crossed above rsi(7),1)}
set{x4, x1 * x2}
set{x5, x3 * x4}

add column x5 > 0

add column rsi(2)
add column separator
add column sector
add column industry
add column separator
add column RSI(7)
add column RSI(14)
add column RSI(21)
add column separator
add column R1
add column R2
add column S1
add column S2
]



Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #152006
4/30/2020 9:49:22 PM

Chickened out on HTZ...sold 40 contracts using $2.60 EOD for a 15% loss. Stubbornly keeping 10 contracts to see how it unfolds.

Why did I sell? Live to trade another day....better with ammo than without. Can always come back and play later.
Why did I jump in to start with? Showing double bottom; Icahn owns > 30% of it...should be able to bail it out. Lenders will see the issue as pandemic related and may defer or restructure rather than write it off.

Why not double down? Hmmm...no derp plays i said to myself ;=P





Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151970
4/29/2020 11:17:31 PM

Shoulda...coulda..woulda...hmmm...this may be ugly ...gotta wait till May 4th to know if debt is being restructured. Can't see why not...this could be an expensive cray cray lesson in leading expectations to believing.



On the bright side...
IWM motors on...


Uncle Elon keeps on giving...


PAYC keeps on paying


QQQ...the wonderful mistake of the 250Cs


KRE...keep on stocking up...


FNGU..happy proxy for the big guns


A stampeding bullish market does indeed cover one's foolish wart sometimes.


Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151934
4/27/2020 5:39:39 PM

YOLO?


Picked up 50 contracts using $3 as cost basis of the Jan 2022 $3C.

Yes, absolutely went over my position sizing limit for options. Yep, maybe getting too drunk with results. Yep, agonized over pulling the trigger for 1 minute.

Will sell if contracts lose 50% of its value...



Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151929
4/27/2020 9:18:13 AM

"Learnings" from the recent meltdown...notes to self:
- The discipline to tune out the "noise" (news, stats (me looking at the corona virus odometer), etc...)
- It is "you" and your "system"; no better way to validate that than real money WITH risk controls
- "Trading" is indeed an "art"...buy set ups may be mechanical but exits are hard (I found taking profits to be extremely hard specially when one thinks you've bought bottom)...
- The "trend" is indeed your friend until it isn't...

Where are we going?...So far...up


Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151880
modified
4/21/2020 10:24:38 PM

NFLX earnings day...traded flat relatively speaking while the market crapped. What will tomorrow bring?


Made new 2 year high? Ascending triangle?
NFLX-eranings-day

Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151878
modified
4/21/2020 11:56:45 AM

Uh oh?


Big name tech earnings next week....taking the mkt a bit higher to suck people in and then off the ledge?

Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151874
modified
4/20/2020 7:31:55 AM

Tinkering around...
Fetcher[
market cap > 1000
optiionable
volume > 1000000
draw rsi(5) on plot rsi(2)
not otcbb

add column Average Day Range(10)
add column rsi(2)
add column rsi(5)

set{x1, count(rsi(2) > rsi(5) 1 day ago,1) * count(rsi(2) 1 day ago < rsi(5) 2 days ago,1)}
set{x2, count(rsi(2) > rsi(2) 3 days ago,1) * count(rsi(2) 1 day ago < 10,1)}
set{x3, count(rsi(5) > 50,1) * count(rsi(2) > 70,1)}

set{x4, x1 * x2}
set{trigger, x3 * x4}
add column trigger > 0

/* SAFeTRADE */
SET{50change, close / ma(50)}
draw 50change line at 1.00
]





Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151873
4/19/2020 10:19:20 PM

Hmmm what can I replace the RSI2 with...

Fetcher[
market cap > 1000
optionable
sort column 10 descending

/* Kevin's portfolio management script */
/*DETERMINE RATIO OF S&P STOCK TO THE ^SPX*/
SET{PRICERATIO, CLOSE / IND(SPY,CLOSE)}
SET{RATIOMA20, CMA(PRICERATIO,20)}
SET{RATIOSTD20, CSTDDEV(PRICERATIO,20)}
SET{DIFF20, PRICERATIO - RATIOMA20}
SET{ZSCORE20, DIFF20 / RATIOSTD20}

/*DETERMINE THE MAXIMUM AMOUNT YOU ARE WILLING TO LOSE*/
SET{ACCOUNTSIZE, 50000}
SET{RISKLEVEL, ACCOUNTSIZE*0.005}

/*DETERMINE LIMIT ENTRY POINT*/
SET{LIMITENTRY, MIN(CLOSE, REVERSERSI(2,5))}

/* VAN THARP POSITION SIZING - SET THE STOP LOSS AND SHARE SIZE BASED ON LIMIT ENTRY AND AMOUNT WILLING TO LOSE*/
SET{2ATR, 2 * ATR(20)}
SET{STOPLOSS, LIMITENTRY - 2ATR}

/*DETERMINE THE NUMBER OF SHARES TO BE PURCHASED*/
SET{SHARESTOBUY1, RISKLEVEL/2ATR}
SET{SHARESTOBUY, ROUND(SHARESTOBUY1, 0)}

/*TOTAL AMOUNT OF EQUITY USED IN THIS TRADE*/
SET{POSITIONAMT, LIMITENTRY * SHARESTOBUY}

/*PERCENT OF TRADING CAPITAL USED IN THIS TRADE*/
SET{POSITIONPCT1, POSITIONAMT / ACCOUNTSIZE}
SET{POSITIONPCT, POSITIONPCT1 * 100}

/*DETERMINE THE REWARD-TO-RISK RATIO BASED ON THE PROFIT TARGET AT RSI(2) = 90*/
SET{REWARD1, REVERSERSI(2,90) - LIMITENTRY}
SET{REWARD, REWARD1 * SHARESTOBUY}
SET{R_R, REWARD / RISKLEVEL}

ADD COLUMN SEPARATOR
ADD COLUMN SHARESTOBUY {SHARES TO BUY}
ADD COLUMN LIMITENTRY {LIMIT ENTRY}
ADD COLUMN REVERSERSI(2,90) {PROFIT TARGET}
ADD COLUMN STOPLOSS {STOP LOSS}
ADD COLUMN R_R {REWARD-TO-RISK}
ADD COLUMN POSITIONAMT {tradeamt}
ADD COLUMN POSITIONPCT {%EQUITY}

/* SAFeTRADE and SnappyFrog inspired */
set{e1, count(rsi(2) crossed above Stochastic %D(40,4),1) * count(Stochastic %D(40,4) < 30,1)}
set{e2, count(rsi(2) < 20,1)}
set{entry, e1 * e2}
add column entry > 0

draw rsi(2) on plot stochastics %D(40,4)

/* Mac Inspired */
draw ema(3)
draw ema(4)
draw ema(5)
draw ema(6)
draw ema(7)
draw ema(8)
draw ema(9)
draw ema(10)
draw ema(11)
draw ema(12)
draw ema(13)
draw ema(14)
draw ema(15)

draw ema(30)
draw ema(31)
draw ema(32)
draw ema(33)
draw ema(34)
draw ema(35)
draw ema(36)
draw ema(37)
draw ema(38)
draw ema(39)
draw ema(40)
draw ema(41)
draw ema(42)
draw ema(43)
draw ema(44)
draw ema(45)
draw ema(46)
draw ema(47)
draw ema(48)
draw ema(49)
draw ema(50)
]



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