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Filter Exchange · bollinger bands
rtucker
msg #36002
5/14/2005 3:26:55 AM

Thanks for the click Rumpled One.

Did some backtesting with Muddy method and found that in this weak market for the last 4+ months an 8% stop wold trigger 21% of the time. I'm sure its higher when my dollar's right there. If I change to 5 to 10 dollar stocks an 8% stop triggers 15% of the time. Not for this reason alone, my gut( and this thread) suggests to spend some time with thicker, > 5 dollar stocks, and learn to use the lower bb and rsi(2)< 1 method. Aside from money management issues with lower priced stocks, the main issue I struggle with, is the trade off between buy stop a green open, or, wait for a small green day. Oh well, thanks for the great thread. You too Rumpled One.


Filter Exchange · bollinger bands
rtucker
msg #35991
5/13/2005 12:54:38 PM

Wallman,
Have made 6 trades with your method, small bets with small + net. I like it. Made several mistakes and need much practice and experience.I cant watch the market during the day. Must use buy stops with limits and sell stops
placed at noon. Sceening for minimum 2% tails + 2% down from previous close seem to give me some comfort level(right, or wrong) to set my sell stop. Buy stop is set to 2% above previous close). Plan to size positions so all losses will be the same size so that I can take the ones that indicate a stop loss of 20+%.
Do you have any thoughts on whether these hard and fast entries exits are reasonable or likely not to work. Any suggestions would be appeciated.


/* tail is 2% below close(reversal) , buystop is 2% above close(green) , sell stop is 2% below low(failure) */

set {x,low * .01}
set{y, close * .02}
set{ sellstop, low -x}
set{ buystop, close +y}
set{diff,buystop-sellstop}
set{rawloss, diff/buystop}
set{loss%, rawloss*100}
add column buystop
add column sellstop
add column loss%
and close is 2% above low and
SHOW STOCKS WHERE CLOSE HAS BEEN DECREASING OVER THE LAST 3 DAYS AND AVERAGE VOLUME(90)IS ABOVE 300,000 AND CLOSE PRICE IS BETWEEN 1 AND 10 AND PRICE TOUCHED LOWER BOLLINGER BAND(20)


General Discussion · industry performance?
rtucker
msg #35136
2/13/2005 9:10:53 PM

Would sure like some relative strength measures on industries. Anything coming in the future from SF? Sorry, dont want to nag but...

After many years Im still tying to "behave" well in the stock market. To me this 1st means getting my money on the table in QQQQ's and SPY when the market stops falling. (have sat out some good uptrends, couldnt pull the trigger and then felt I'm too late: wrong!). Next is industries SMH etc... then individual stocks. If I can say at the end of this year "I cant hit the nail on the head but generally I traded positions in the ups/downs of the market, good performing industries, and, their top performing stocks fairly well" then I'll be happy. I do realize that the very best position traders would like to say the same thing but to them it would mean big bucks.

Now, I keep 2 full watchlists with 10 stocks from 40 industries and use a handfull of simple oversold and breakout filters. Using Bigcharts.com for industy performance. Any other websites good for industry info?. I am going to try to forget 10,000 stocks that whiz past me so fast that I cannot act. (Avery and others have posts along these lines focussing on selecting a few stocks and learning to trade/manage money). I'll try.

Qusetion: This filter: "Show stocks where the count(close touched ma(20),20) is above 4 and 200 day slope of close > .1 and avg vol(90) > 500000 and price > 20 and offset is 61" showed a sector consolidating from about 62 to 58 days ago. Is this likely to show future industry consolidation ? Of course the sector could have fallen off a cliff, but, it was a leader and it didn't.
Lastly, are there others out there that would like to start a thread along these lines. "dont forget CLF,X, because you had a bade trade in them 2 years ago" or " ouch, bought DHI a day late after breakout and just got weak news on that sector" or "SMH above ma(20), stonger than QQQQ below ma(20)" or "AKS ?whats up with steel now?" or "casinos: WOW" etc.... Anyone?






General Discussion · Heres something weird
rtucker
msg #34459
12/22/2004 3:30:52 AM

Interesting. I always thought of the slope of close as ie: .07 means 7 percent and .2 means 20% etc.. . Didnt think SF would return < 1 but I saw one that was 1.22. Thought only stocks I bought could decline 122%


General Discussion · problems with lag
rtucker
msg #33710
10/28/2004 4:06:07 AM

add column 1 day slope of cog(10,7)

try adding this line to the end of your filter so you can see the returned values and get a feel for slopes. it appears that 2 day slopes are minimum. no difference in values between 1 and 2 day slopes.


General Discussion · Help with filter
rtucker
msg #33647
10/23/2004 7:16:05 PM

close crossed above ema(10) 3 days ago and close > ema(10) for the last 3 days

this may be what you want. in the "settings" page if you temporarily change the chart type to "line" ( a line of closing prices) its easier to see if this meets your requirements. Also, the "crossover" day is included as one of the "last 3 days".


General Discussion · logic.. ands and ors.
rtucker
msg #33636
10/23/2004 5:50:21 AM

need help with trying to find flags. this filter only sees 3 to 7 days consolidation. if i try to add more or's it dosent work. am i doing something wrong or am i reaching a SF limit. Oh.. thank you Cegis / others for instructing as well as posting great filters.


set{v,count(3 day slope of close is between .02 and -.04,1)}
set{a,count(5 day slope of close 3 days ago > .08,1)}
set{and1,v * a }

set{t,count(4 day slope of close is between .02 and -.04,1)}
set{r,count(5 day slope of close 4 days ago > .08,1)}
set{and4,t * r }


set{b,count(5 day slope of close is between .02 and -.06,1)}
set{c,count(5 day slope of close 5 days ago > .08,1)}
set{and2,b * c }

set{d,count(6 day slope of close is between .02 and -.06,1)}
set{e,count(5 day slope of close 6 days ago > .08,1)}
set{and3,d * e}

set{h,count(7 day slope of close is between .02 and -.06,1)}
set{i,count(5 day slope of close 7 days ago > .08,1)}
set{and5,h * i }





set{or1,and1 + and2}
set{or2,or1 + and3}
set{or3,or2 + and4}
set{or4,or3 + and5}
or4 > 0








General Discussion · new user
rtucker
msg #31087
2/14/2004 8:50:12 AM

i cant seem to get an a,s or descending triangle to fit tasr in nov. and
jan. with "show stocks where pattern is XXX triangle and volume(20) is above
50000 and and price is above 10 and price gain is above 3%" Am looking for a
screen that sees that pivot point. trying to fit the likes of tasr and hrt, then, refine from there. I like to keep it simple with indicators(price,volatility,volume).in the past have always watched 10 or less stocks and would like to watch more and be a couple hundred percent earlier. would appreciate any help on this type of filter.



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