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Filter Exchange · best percent wins?
jclaffee
msg #41623
2/28/2006 3:26:15 AM

Hi, updown:

Trade your filter for a while and let us know what you think of it then.

Jim


General Discussion · Some heads are gonna roll!
jclaffee
msg #41479
2/22/2006 1:23:46 AM

yepher,

I appreciate having had the chance to look at your analysis.

Jim


General Discussion · Lower Bollinger Band(20)
jclaffee
msg #41121
2/9/2006 2:50:34 PM

Dick,

I think that both the "Close" and the "Lower Bollinger Band" must refer to the number of "days ago" that you're interested in.

Fetcher[Close 3 days ago below Lower Bollinger Band 3 days ago]



Jim


General Discussion · Buying down opens
jclaffee
msg #41113
2/9/2006 1:34:05 AM

UNITED,

SF is an end-of-day screening tool, so it would not be adaptable to your vision of entering a trade at 1000 or so and exiting at a later time that same day. IMO, this is a "market sense" trade, anyway, as opposed to a technical trade. I don't have it so I don't do it! I am impressed, though, by the frequency -- particularly with listed stocks where overnight pressures have not been accomodated in the pre-open trading -- with which the initial move reverses. I have no data to quantify this phenomenon.

Jim


General Discussion · Cafe Boiler Room
jclaffee
msg #40916
2/2/2006 3:13:36 PM

Hi, nikoschopen. . .

Re: yr post of 2/2, 1222:46 My observations, over a considerable period, lead me to believe that the extremes of the day are put in in the first and last hours. It is my opinion that one never wants to be WITH the movement of the first hour; be against it or be on the sidelines, but don't be with it. I do NOT have data to support either of these statements. Keep an eye on things and see if your observations tend to agree with mine.

Jim


General Discussion · How to create a basket of commodity-oriented stocks?
jclaffee
msg #40913
2/2/2006 2:57:59 PM

glgene,

Perhaps an ETF? There are many which focus on "Natural Resources".

Jim


General Discussion · Find the next NTRI
jclaffee
msg #40710
1/26/2006 6:14:41 AM

Hi, markcrisp

You can search the archives back several years for "EWZuber" and see where he has made right edge calls (usually in posts headed "Just a Heads Up").

Jim


General Discussion · MONEY MANAGEMENT article in SFO magazine Jan 06
jclaffee
msg #40079
1/10/2006 10:16:28 AM

RumpledOne, I did read that article and was struck by the author's epiphany about concentrating on setups rather than outcomes. . .this is where THIS trader is in development right now.

My focus has evolved away from indicators to a large extent: I do print standard Bollinger Bands on all my charts; I do refer to Directional Movement for numerical definition of trend; and I do refer to RSI(2) -- thank you! -- as an overbought/oversold oscillator.

My process begins, though, with the identification of a market truism -- for instance, "In an uptrending market, every new high will be tested and/or exceeded" -- and then employs an amalgam of patterns and indicators to define entry and exit points which permit me to take advantage of that underlying, repeating market characteristic. I do have two plays which are based on the statement above: one is a "buy the dips" play and one is a "continuation" play. Both are swing trades which result in (about) 65% winners with the individual winners producing (about) $2 in gains while the individual losers produce (about) $1 in losses.

Jim


General Discussion · Profitable
jclaffee
msg #39887
1/3/2006 3:18:17 AM

Thanks, EWZ; well stated. That might have been "Larry Livingston" writing!

Jim


General Discussion · 3 month high filter
jclaffee
msg #39664
12/18/2005 10:59:36 PM

72 hours w/o electricity due to an accumulation of 1/2" of ice from rain falling while temp was below 32F has intervened here! When I get back on an even keel, I'll see if I can contribute further.

Jim


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