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Filter Exchange · MY XIV TRADING SYSTEM USING STRATASEARCH FILTERS
Kevin_in_GA
msg #140123
12/15/2017 12:23:16 PM

Tactical error - last week I had placed a limit order to sell 2,000 shares out of my IRA account if the price got to $130, which was GTC and I forgot about it still being in place. Missed out on about $6,000 in potential profit today!

In at $118.48, out at $130.00 for a gain of $23,040. Now down to 1,000 shares still in play - entry price of $120.25. Closed trade profits of $57,910.

Update: Closed out the remaining 1,000 shares at $133.00 for a gain of $12,750. Total return on this set of trades was $70,660, or 5.9% on my initial investment of $1,198,000. Scaling out results in a lower overall return if the ETF keeps plowing up, as XIV has done this past month.

Filter Exchange · MY XIV TRADING SYSTEM USING STRATASEARCH FILTERS
Kevin_in_GA
msg #140078
12/13/2017 8:44:19 PM

Two SELL signals for tomorrow - #38 (which was bought this morning and is currently -0.57% return) and #6 (purchased on 11/29 and currently up 6.42%).

Net on this is to still hold three units, although I might be tempted to pick up 1 or 2 more if the price drops tomorrow - I'm getting a pretty reliable set of Neural Network XIV BUY signals either in place or set to trigger off of the weekly bar forming.

Filter Exchange · MY XIV TRADING SYSTEM USING STRATASEARCH FILTERS
Kevin_in_GA
msg #140066
12/13/2017 2:32:16 PM

Don't bother trying to convince shilllihs that anything could be as good as his own fantasy system. When he posts a backtestable system with any evidence of trades being made, the four horsemen will likely ride upon the wind and the Apocalypse will have begun.

When that happens I will go long TVIX ...

Filter Exchange · MY XIV TRADING SYSTEM USING STRATASEARCH FILTERS
Kevin_in_GA
msg #140062
12/13/2017 12:46:42 PM

This is a system I gave out freely to everyone here, but it is not the only system I use to trade, and I don't expect people to keep track of my trades all that closely.

In fact, had I followed this system exclusively over the past 6 months, I would be much better off than where I actually am. I usually pull a trade off the table too soon only to watch it keep going.

Filter Exchange · MY XIV TRADING SYSTEM USING STRATASEARCH FILTERS
Kevin_in_GA
msg #140059
modified
12/13/2017 12:02:48 PM

@nibor - if you look at my post that day, it clearly indicates that several of the signals were from my other system (neural network systems) as well.

11/29/2017 8:52:15 AM

Added another 4,000 shares of XIV in premarket at $120.25 based on a series of system signals from last night. Now positioned at 6,000 shares at an average cost of $119.67.


I am still holding 1000 of those shares, as well as 2000 shares at $118.49 which gives me 3,000 shares still in play at an average cost of $119.07. My purchases were not exclusively through this system, but I am using the current signals to scale out of my trade.

@davesaint - no purchases for me today. As I stated last night, my goal is to reduce my XIV position and to begin adding in other ETFs systems for 2018. I will likely miss out on some gains but that is my decision.

Filter Exchange · RSI Divergence
Kevin_in_GA
msg #140051
12/13/2017 8:06:27 AM

Here you go ...

http://forums.stockfetcher.com/sfforums/?q=view&fid=1001&tid=95123&qrid=

Filter Exchange · MY XIV TRADING SYSTEM USING STRATASEARCH FILTERS
Kevin_in_GA
msg #140044
modified
12/12/2017 8:40:16 PM

I'm getting two new BUY signals for tomorrow.

SideActionPFOrderTypeProductSymbolNameBuyDateBuyPriceClosePriceGainLossSystemName
LongBuy10MarketStockXIVXIV 127.71 XIV MULTISYSTEM #20
LongBuy10MarketStockXIVXIV 127.71 XIV MULTISYSTEM #38
LongHold10 StockXIVXIV12/4/2017119.76127.716.64%XIV MULTISYSTEM #27
LongHold10 StockXIVXIV12/5/2017116.7127.719.43%XIV MULTISYSTEM #23
LongHold10 StockXIVXIV11/29/2017120.47127.716.01%XIV MULTISYSTEM #6


My goal is actually to be in cash by the end of this year - not that I don't have faith in the system as it has performed admirably to date, but I am a bit concerned about how much longer this sustained low volatility environment can be maintained. Also, I have applied a lot of trading capital against this system throughout the year and want to approach 2018 with a bit more diversification.

Remember two things about this system:

1. It is long only. I was not able to find a lot of good short filters on XIV, although using other approaches this can be done. I would feel more comfortable if this could signal both ways.
2. It is composed of 30 filters that will over time need to be individually re-optimized. I built this about 5 or 6 months ago, and so far it continues to do well, but like all filters it needs to be retrained on more recent data periodically. I realize that is a lot of effort, but it could easily be split among several folks here.

Filter Exchange · MY XIV TRADING SYSTEM USING STRATASEARCH FILTERS
Kevin_in_GA
msg #140020
12/12/2017 11:05:35 AM

The system gains are typically in this range - in percent it is not really all that impressive, but since I am trading at a fairly large level that absolute gains are decent.

General Discussion · stratasearch to stockfetcher help
Kevin_in_GA
msg #140016
12/12/2017 10:03:51 AM

Here you go ...

http://forums.stockfetcher.com/sfforums/?q=view&fid=1001&tid=95123&qrid=


Filter Exchange · MY XIV TRADING SYSTEM USING STRATASEARCH FILTERS
Kevin_in_GA
msg #140015
12/12/2017 9:41:33 AM

Sold 3,000 shares of XIV at $128.50 (purchased on 11/29 at $120.25). Net gain of $24,750.

Position now reduced to 3,000 shares at and average cost of $119.07 and cash profits of $34,870 (a gain of $4.98 per share sold).


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