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shillllihs
5,403 posts
msg #142673
Ignore shillllihs
3/8/2018 3:38:45 PM

Sounds good.

I’ve just always figured smart money was actually insiders who would do great in any environment, hitting 85% with 5-10 baggers. Wondering if you can achieve similar results just swing trading without having to worry about expiration.
Also thought this seemed like a big process and was not sure if you were really getting in at the prices the big wigs were.

If you ever get to Chicago check out this place, the best Spicy Vietnamese
Crawfish ever.

https://www.yelp.com/biz/saigon-bistro-chicago

15minofPham
136 posts
msg #142678
Ignore 15minofPham
3/8/2018 8:56:19 PM

I've been trading options a LONG time and I rarely see more than a three-bagger unless they're weeklies or you buy them more than six months out. I had two four-baggers, and a five when I made $30K in January, but you have to remember, the market went up non-stop! Even the big boys can't control the market so they're in the same boat as everyone else now. I'll have to check that place out if I'm ever in the Windy City.

15minofPham
136 posts
msg #142682
Ignore 15minofPham
3/8/2018 10:02:40 PM

Follow the Money Play of the Day - TER

Premium of $5.3 million on a buy of 5,000 of the 10/19/18 $40 Call for $10.70 with stock at $48.12. Interesting this was purchased at resistance since most are Dikembe Mutombo'd. Breakeven of $50.70 means a new 52 week high, but time is certainly on this play's side. Total option volume Call/Put ratio was 89-11 and bullish order sentiment was 57%, only slightly higher than its 30-day average of 50%.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wednesday's spotlight - CRC, $1.2 million, 10,000 5/18/18 $16 Call for $1.20, Stock $13.63

Gained 2% to push Call to +12.50%.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYNN was the big winner in this maddening market as it gained more than 6% today to catapult its 5/18/18 175 Call to 100% in only three days. In the process, it became March's first winner. Meanwhile, its 5/18/18 170 Call is at +83%. It's guaranteed a win at 75% as this is where the stop loss is now set. Barring a down day tomorrow, STZ might hit the +50% target to give February its ninth win.

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

The purpose of this paper trading portfolio is to find out if following the big money plays, aka smart money is truly smart.

Rules:
1) Picks are based on one big purchase or multiples of purchases adding to a large premium
2) Prices are end of day except if below event occurs intraday
3) Gain: Sell at +100%. The purpose is to see how many plays can double. If price climbs above 50 & 75 pct target then threaten to fall below intraday, then sell kicks in. Example: X stock started the day at +93% but then falls to +75% intraday, stock would be sold at +75%
4) Loss: Sell at -50%
5) Sell before earnings

15minofPham
136 posts
msg #142696
Ignore 15minofPham
3/10/2018 12:40:38 AM

Follow the Money Play of the Day - MSFT

Premium of $1.8 million on aggregate buys of 12,091 of the 3/16/18 $95 Call for an average of $1.52 with stock at an average of $95.73. This will be either a hero or zero play as next week is shenanigans week, aka monthly options expiration where algos will try to pin. On the other hand, it might run to $100 by mid-week before the pin takes over. Total option volume Call/Put ratio was 75-25 and bullish order sentiment was 81%, way above its 30-day average of 62%.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday's spotlight - TER, $5.3 million, 5,000 10/19/18 $40 Call for $10.70, Stock $48.12

Gained nearly 2% but showing a shooting star so not sure how much gas it has left. Still, time is on its side. The option is at +9.81%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYNN 5/18/18 170 Call was closed out when it hit +100% giving March its second win. Keep in mind in the real world the gain is currently over 120% so one could have either sold or put a trailing stop. To make bookkeeping easier for this paper trade portfolio, all are sold at 100%.

A strong day in the market has guaranteed the portfolio another two wins, QQQ currently at 87% and STZ at 60%. The worst the former can finish is at 75% while the latter at 50%. AMD & IWM came within a hair length from the minimum 50% win but it can accomplish this if the market has a follow-through day on Monday. The only red is SINA.

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

The purpose of this paper trading portfolio is to find out if following the big money plays, aka smart money is truly smart.

Rules:
1) Picks are based on one big purchase or multiples of purchases adding to a large premium
2) Prices are end of day except if below event occurs intraday
3) Gain: Sell at +100%. The purpose is to see how many plays can double. If price climbs above 50 & 75 pct target then threaten to fall below intraday, then sell kicks in. Example: X stock started the day at +93% but then falls to +75% intraday, stock would be sold at +75%
4) Loss: Sell at -50%
5) Sell before earnings

sumit.gargs@gmail.com
7 posts
msg #142699
Ignore sumit.gargs@gmail.com
3/10/2018 1:40:27 PM

Wondering why didn't you point out FB? 160 strike Calls worth 5.6M for 15/Jun expiration where purchased.

WantingLittle
11 posts
msg #142708
Ignore WantingLittle
modified
3/10/2018 6:41:47 PM

Tuan, do you have your email posted? I have a couple questions falling outside of the scope of this thread (if you don't mind).

15minofPham
136 posts
msg #142727
Ignore 15minofPham
3/12/2018 1:18:23 PM

@Sumit,
I didn't pick FB because none of my other sources that I double check against mentioned them either so I'm thinking it might be part of a spread.

@Wantinglittle
I had SF removed my email due to receiving too many. If you wish you can contact me through Twitter. My handle name is 15minofpham. If not, then please provide me your email.

WantingLittle
11 posts
msg #142731
Ignore WantingLittle
3/12/2018 2:59:06 PM

Thanks, Tuan. I'm smallreality--->gmail

mahkoh
1,064 posts
msg #142733
Ignore mahkoh
3/12/2018 5:03:45 PM

10000 KMB July 120 Calls bought with the stock at 112.39.



15minofPham
136 posts
msg #142738
Ignore 15minofPham
3/12/2018 11:48:16 PM

Follow the Money Play of the Day - KMB

Mahkoh's great eyes mentioned this earlier. Premium of $2.4 million of 10,000 of the 7/20/18 $120 Call for $2.45 with stock at $112.39. Even though expiration is four months away, breakeven of $122.45 is a tall order as it will bring it back to January's high which is 8.43% from today's close of $113.06. Total option volume Call/Put ratio was 92-8 and bullish order sentiment was 89%, above its 30-day average of 53%.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday's spotlight - MSFT, $1.8 million, 12,091 3/16/18 $95 Call for $1.52, Stock $95.73

Gained a minuscule .24% but option is almost at +50%.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

February picked up its ninth win after QQQ 5/18/18 172 Call reached 100%. One more down day and AMD 4/11/18 11 Put can be closed out too.

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

The purpose of this paper trading portfolio is to find out if following the big money plays, aka smart money is truly smart.

Rules:
1) Picks are based on one big purchase or multiples of purchases adding to a large premium
2) Prices are end of day except if below event occurs intraday
3) Gain: Sell at +100%. The purpose is to see how many plays can double. If price climbs above 50 & 75 pct target then threaten to fall below intraday, then sell kicks in. Example: X stock started the day at +93% but then falls to +75% intraday, stock would be sold at +75%
4) Loss: Sell at -50%
5) Sell before earnings


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